About: Epidemics, Air Travel, and Elimination in a Globalized World: The Case of Measles

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Epidemics, Air Travel, and Elimination in a Globalized World: The Case of Measles
Creator	Lessler, Justin Truelove, Shaun Berro, Andre Gastanaduy, Paul Johansson, Michael Walker, Allison Mier-Y-Teran-Romero, Luis
Source	MedRxiv
abstract	Although the United States (U.S.) declared measles eliminated in 2000, so long as measles circulates globally, continued importations will trigger sporadic U.S. outbreaks. The United States is highly connected to the rest of the world, and importations occur largely as a result of air travel by U.S. residents and international visitors. We developed a model to assess the risk of measles virus importation from Europe, Asia, and Africa through air travel. We projected 308 (95% prediction interval, 151-518) total measles cases imported from 66 countries during 2006-2015; 290 importations were reported. The model projected a spike in importation risk from Israel during October 2018, coincident with large, importation-triggered outbreaks in New York and New Jersey. Our model shows U.S. importation risk primarily originates from European and Asian countries. Models such as this inform preemptive actions to mitigate infectious disease threats, but only if we prioritize global surveillance and data sharing.
has issue date	2020-05-12(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.05.08.20095414
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	3f30ae97a042ba8ebad1280d0c0f397aecb660d3
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.08.20095414
resource representing a document's title	Epidemics, Air Travel, and Elimination in a Globalized World: The Case of Measles
resource representing a document's body	covid:3f30ae97a042ba8ebad1280d0c0f397aecb660d3#body_text
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