About: D(2)EA: Depict the Epidemic Picture of COVID-19

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About: D(2)EA: Depict the Epidemic Picture of COVID-19 Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	D(2)EA: Depict the Epidemic Picture of COVID-19
Creator	Chenzhengyi, Liu Gao, Yuanning Liu, Guohang Xiaofeng, Gao Zhao, Jingwei
topic	covid:6ea7e4881093cc0587485ef75150a83055942ae1#this
Source	Medline; PMC; WHO
abstract	The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has aroused a global alert. To release social panic and guide future schedules, this article proposes a novel mathematical model, the Delay Differential Epidemic Analyzer (D(2)EA), to analyze the dynamics of epidemic and forecast its future trends. Based on the traditional Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model, the D(2)EA model innovatively introduces a set of quarantine states and applies both ordinary differential equations and delay differential equations to describe the transition between two states. Potential variations of practical factors are further considered to reveal the true epidemic picture. In the experiment part, we use the D(2)EA model to simulate the epidemic in Hubei Province. Fitting to the collected real data as non-linear optimization, the D(2)EA model forecasts that the accumulated confirmed infected cases in Hubei Province will reach the peak at the end of February and then steady down. We also evaluate the effectiveness of the quarantine measures and schedule the date to reopen Hubei Province.
has issue date	2020-04-07(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1007/s12204-020-2170-7
bibo:pmid	32288418
has license	no-cc
sha1sum (hex)	6ea7e4881093cc0587485ef75150a83055942ae1
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1007/s12204-020-2170-7
resource representing a document's title	D(2)EA: Depict the Epidemic Picture of COVID-19
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC7137902
has PubMed identifier	32288418
schema:publication	J Shanghai Jiaotong Univ Sci
resource representing a document's body	covid:6ea7e4881093cc0587485ef75150a83055942ae1#body_text
is http://vocab.deri.ie/void#inDataset of	proxy:http/ns.inria.fr/covid19/6ea7e4881093cc0587485ef75150a83055942ae1
is schema:about of	named entity 'variations' named entity 'infected' named entity 'quarantine' named entity 'Epidemic' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'EXPOSED' named entity 'CONFIRMED' named entity 'QUARANTINE' named entity 'FITTING' named entity 'FORECAST' named entity 'OPTIMIZATION' named entity 'INFECTIOUS' named entity 'SET' named entity 'PICTURE' named entity 'DATE' named entity 'CASES' named entity 'THE PEAK' named entity 'TO DESCRIBE' named entity 'FUTURE' named entity 'DYNAMICS' named entity 'SUSCEPTIBLE' named entity 'ANALYZER' named entity 'STATES' named entity 'MATHEMATICAL MODEL' named entity 'CONSIDERED' named entity 'ACCUMULATED' named entity 'DIFFERENTIAL' named entity 'COLLECTED' named entity 'RELEASE' named entity 'OUTBREAK' named entity 'EPIDEMIC' named entity 'CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 2019' named entity 'DELAY' named entity 'DATA' named entity 'BASED' named entity 'SOCIAL' named entity 'FEBRUARY' named entity 'AROUSED' named entity 'TRANSITION' named entity 'VARIATIONS' named entity 'NOVEL' named entity 'SCHEDULES' named entity 'EFFECTIVENESS' named entity 'SIMULATE' named entity 'REACH' named entity 'PICTURE' named entity 'USE' named entity 'SCHEDULE' named entity 'TRADITIONAL' named entity 'REVEAL' named entity 'EPIDEMIC' named entity 'GLOBAL' named entity 'INTRODUCES' named entity 'DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS' named entity 'ARTICLE' named entity 'ALERT' named entity 'PANIC' named entity 'MEASURES' named entity 'POTENTIAL' named entity 'EVALUATE' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'REAL' named entity 'NON-LINEAR' named entity 'INFECTED' named entity 'TRUE' named entity 'TRENDS' named entity 'AT THE END' named entity 'HUBEI PROVINCE' named entity 'STEADY' named entity 'MODEL' named entity 'RECOVERED' named entity 'ORDINARY DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS' named entity 'EXPERIMENT' named entity 'GUIDE' named entity 'ITS'

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