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About:
A mathematical study on the spread of COVID-19 considering social distancing and rapid assessment : The case of Jakarta, Indonesia
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Type:
Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
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type
Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy
Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title
A mathematical study on the spread of COVID-19 considering social distancing and rapid assessment : The case of Jakarta, Indonesia
Creator
Aldila, Dipo
Anugerah, M
Ayulani, Sheryl
Bakry, Brenda
Farhan, Alfarizi
Gh, Indri
Khoshnaw, Egi
Rais Anwar, Aanisah
Safitri, Yusril
Salim,
Samiadji, Demas
Sarbaz, H
Source
Elsevier; Medline; PMC
abstract
The aim of this study is to investigate the effects of rapid testing and social distancing in controlling the spread of COVID-19, particularly in the city of Jakarta, Indonesia. We formulate a modified susceptible exposed infectious recovered compartmental model considering asymptomatic individuals. Rapid testing is intended to trace the existence of asymptomatic infected individuals among the population. This asymptomatic class is categorized into two subclasses: detected and undetected asymptomatic individuals. Furthermore, the model considers the limitations of medical resources to treat an infected individual in a hospital. The model shows two types of equilibrium point: COVID-19 free and COVID-19 endemic. The COVID-19-free equilibrium point is locally and asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is less than unity. In contrast, COVID-19-endemic equilibrium always exists when [Formula: see text]. The model can also show a backward bifurcation at [Formula: see text] whenever the treatment saturation parameter, which describes the hospital capacity, is larger than a specific threshold. To justify the model parameters, we use the incidence data from the city of Jakarta, Indonesia. The data pertain to infected individuals who self-isolate in their homes and visit the hospital for further treatment. Our numerical experiments indicate that strict social distancing has the potential to succeed in reducing and delaying the time of an outbreak. However, if the strict social distancing policy is relaxed, a massive rapid-test intervention should be conducted to avoid a large-scale outbreak in the future.
has issue date
2020-06-28
(
xsd:dateTime
)
bibo:doi
10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110042
bibo:pmid
32834600
has license
no-cc
sha1sum (hex)
890c59fc68a5429e94999a5584a0227d34d92380
schema:url
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110042
resource representing a document's title
A mathematical study on the spread of COVID-19 considering social distancing and rapid assessment : The case of Jakarta, Indonesia
has PubMed Central identifier
PMC7321057
has PubMed identifier
32834600
schema:publication
Chaos Solitons Fractals
resource representing a document's body
covid:890c59fc68a5429e94999a5584a0227d34d92380#body_text
is
schema:about
of
named entity 'social distancing'
named entity 'social distancing'
named entity 'Jakarta'
named entity 'Jakarta'
named entity 'COVID-19'
named entity 'social distancing'
named entity 'well-posed'
named entity 'social distancing'
named entity 'March 3'
named entity 'sensitivity analysis'
named entity 'incubation period'
named entity 'social distancing'
named entity 'transition matrix'
named entity 'Indonesia'
named entity 'equilibrium point'
named entity 'SEIR'
named entity 'social distancing'
named entity 'potency'
named entity 'Indonesia'
named entity 'cough'
named entity 'Indonesia'
named entity 'May 10'
named entity 'rapid test'
named entity 'WHO'
named entity 'Jakarta'
named entity 'COVID'
named entity 'COVID'
named entity 'social distancing'
named entity 'Jakarta'
named entity 'partial derivatives'
named entity 'asymptomatic'
named entity 'equilibrium point'
named entity 'equilibrium point'
named entity 'rapid test'
named entity 'data based'
named entity 'infectious disease'
named entity 'endemic'
named entity 'basic reproduction number'
named entity 'basic reproduction number'
named entity 'parameter estimation'
named entity 'equilibrium point'
named entity 'physical distancing'
named entity 'self-isolation'
named entity 'sensitivity analysis'
named entity 'asymptomatic'
named entity 'COVID'
named entity 'rapid test'
named entity 'sensitivity index'
named entity 'COVID'
named entity 'well-posed'
named entity 'rapid test'
named entity 'quarantine'
named entity 'closure of schools'
named entity 'COVID'
named entity 'Jakarta'
named entity 'July 27'
named entity 'Jakarta Governor'
named entity 'primary infection'
named entity 'social distancing'
named entity 'suicide'
named entity 'incubation period'
named entity 'COVID-19'
named entity 'COVID-19'
named entity 'epidemic'
named entity 'death rate'
named entity 'United Kingdom'
named entity 'SEIR'
named entity 'COVID'
named entity 'social distancing'
named entity 'World Health Organization'
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