About: Incubation Period and Other Epidemiological Characteristics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Infections with Right Truncation: A Statistical Analysis of Publicly Available Case Data

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About: Incubation Period and Other Epidemiological Characteristics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Infections with Right Truncation: A Statistical Analysis of Publicly Available Case Data Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Incubation Period and Other Epidemiological Characteristics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Infections with Right Truncation: A Statistical Analysis of Publicly Available Case Data
Creator	Nishiura, Hiroshi Hayashi, Katsuma Jung, Sung-Mok Kinoshita, Ryo Kobayashi, Tetsuro Yang, Yichi Yuan, Baoyin Akhmetzhanov, Andrei Linton, Natalie
source	MedRxiv
abstract	The geographic spread of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infections from the epicenter of Wuhan, China, has provided an opportunity to study the natural history of the recently emerged virus. Using publicly available event-date data from the ongoing epidemic, the present study investigated the incubation period and other time intervals that govern the epidemiological dynamics of COVID-19 infections. Our results show that the incubation period falls within the range of 2-14 days with 95% confidence and has a mean of around 5 days when approximated using the best-fit lognormal distribution. The mean time from illness onset to hospital admission (for treatment and/or isolation) was estimated at 3-4 days without truncation and at 5-9 days when right truncated. Based on the 95th percentile estimate of the incubation period, we recommend that the length of quarantine should be at least 14 days. The median time delay of 13 days from illness onset to death (17 days with right truncation) should be considered when estimating the COVID-19 case fatality risk.
has issue date	2020-01-28(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.01.26.20018754
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	cbc05d14c57b91081970a232ab83bc993f998fe2
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.01.26.20018754
resource representing a document's title	Incubation Period and Other Epidemiological Characteristics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Infections with Right Truncation: A Statistical Analysis of Publicly Available Case Data
resource representing a document's body	covid:cbc05d14c57b91081970a232ab83bc993f998fe2#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'TRUNCATION' named entity 'estimating' named entity 'infections' named entity 'days' named entity 'truncation' named entity 'Statistical Analysis' covid:arg/cbc05d14c57b91081970a232ab83bc993f998fe2 named entity 'CHINA' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'INFECTIONS' named entity 'RIGHT' named entity 'LOGNORMAL DISTRIBUTION' named entity '2019 NOVEL CORONAVIRUS' named entity 'ONSET' named entity 'SPREAD' named entity 'INCUBATION PERIOD' named entity '3-4 DAYS' named entity 'GEOGRAPHIC' named entity 'WUHAN' named entity 'TIME DELAY' named entity 'ILLNESS' named entity '2019 NOVEL CORONAVIRUS' named entity 'QUARANTINE' named entity 'INVESTIGATED' named entity 'BEST' named entity 'INCUBATION PERIOD' named entity 'STATISTICAL ANALYSIS' named entity 'DATA' named entity 'TIME' named entity 'ESTIMATED' named entity 'CASE' named entity 'RIGHT' named entity 'EPIDEMIOLOGICAL' named entity 'CORONAVIRUS INFECTIONS' named entity 'HOSPITAL ADMISSION' named entity 'DAYS' named entity 'EVENT' named entity 'TREATMENT' named entity 'VIRUS' named entity 'TRUNCATED' named entity 'AVAILABLE' named entity 'EPIDEMIOLOGICAL' named entity 'RISK' named entity 'OPPORTUNITY' named entity 'CONSIDERED' named entity 'LENGTH' named entity 'STUDY' named entity 'NATURAL HISTORY' named entity 'USING' named entity 'EPICENTER' named entity 'ISOLATION' named entity 'MEAN' named entity 'ESTIMATE' named entity 'CASE' named entity 'RECOMMEND' named entity 'RECENTLY' named entity 'APPROXIMATED' named entity 'DEATH' named entity 'RANGE' named entity 'PROVIDED' named entity 'FIT' named entity 'EPIDEMIC' named entity '5-9' named entity 'RESULTS' named entity 'CORONAVIRUS INFECTIONS' named entity 'DATA' named entity 'CONFIDENCE' named entity 'BASED' named entity 'INTERVALS' named entity 'ONGOING' named entity 'DATE' named entity 'MEDIAN' named entity 'OUR' named entity 'PERCENTILE' named entity 'FALLS' named entity 'CHARACTERISTICS' named entity 'AVAILABLE'

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