About: Influenza surveillance in Europe: establishing epidemic thresholds by the Moving Epidemic Method

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Influenza surveillance in Europe: establishing epidemic thresholds by the Moving Epidemic Method
Creator	Nunes, Baltazar Meerhoff, Tamara Mott, Joshua Snacken, René Lozano, Jose Ortiz De Lejarazu, Raul Tomá S Vega,
source	Medline; PMC
abstract	Please cite this paper as: Vega et al. (2012) Influenza surveillance in Europe: establishing epidemic thresholds by the moving epidemic method. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses 7(4), 546–558. Background Timely influenza surveillance is important to monitor influenza epidemics. Objectives (i) To calculate the epidemic threshold for influenza‐like illness (ILI) and acute respiratory infections (ARI) in 19 countries, as well as the thresholds for different levels of intensity. (ii) To evaluate the performance of these thresholds. Methods The moving epidemic method (MEM) has been developed to determine the baseline influenza activity and an epidemic threshold. False alerts, detection lags and timeliness of the detection of epidemics were calculated. The performance was evaluated using a cross‐validation procedure. Results The overall sensitivity of the MEM threshold was 71·8% and the specificity was 95·5%. The median of the timeliness was 1 week (range: 0–4·5). Conclusions The method produced a robust and specific signal to detect influenza epidemics. The good balance between the sensitivity and specificity of the epidemic threshold to detect seasonal epidemics and avoid false alerts has advantages for public health purposes. This method may serve as standard to define the start of the annual influenza epidemic in countries in Europe.
has issue date	2012-08-16(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1111/j.1750-2659.2012.00422.x
bibo:pmid	22897919
has license	no-cc
sha1sum (hex)	ee8a6b2db7d43dedd8668300d2e71587a3062f17
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1750-2659.2012.00422.x
resource representing a document's title	Influenza surveillance in Europe: establishing epidemic thresholds by the Moving Epidemic Method
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC5855152
has PubMed identifier	22897919
schema:publication	Influenza Other Respir Viruses
resource representing a document's body	covid:ee8a6b2db7d43dedd8668300d2e71587a3062f17#body_text
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