About: Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020

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About: Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020 Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020
Creator	Merler, Stefano Melegaro, Alessia Ajelli¹, Marco Alessia, Melegaro Annalisa, Bodina Antonio, Barone Barone², Antonio Bodina², Annalisa Cereda², Danilo Crottogini², Lucia Danilo, Cereda Diurno², Giulio Filippo, Trentini Giorgio, Guzzetta Giulio, Diurno Gramegna², Maria Guzzetta¹, Giorgio Lucia, Crottogini Marcello, Tirani Marco, Ajelli Maria, Gramegna Marziano¹, Valentina Piero, Poletti Poletti¹, Piero Tirani, Marcello Trentini¹, Filippo Valentina, Marziano
source	Medline; PMC
abstract	Sustained coronavirus disease (COVID-19) transmission is ongoing in Italy, with 7,375 reported cases and 366 deaths by 8 March 2020. We provide a model-based evaluation of patient records from Lombardy, predicting the impact of an uncontrolled epidemic on the healthcare system. It has the potential to cause more than 250,039 (95% credible interval (CrI): 147,717–459,890) cases within 3 weeks, including 37,194 (95% CrI: 22,250–67,632) patients requiring intensive care. Aggressive containment strategies are required.
has issue date	2020-03-26(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.12.2000293
bibo:pmid	32234117
has license	cc-by
sha1sum (hex)	0c8e1f6e428a6688f68c4a989752d3f052b58677
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.12.2000293
resource representing a document's title	Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC7118340
has PubMed identifier	32234117
schema:publication	Euro Surveill
resource representing a document's body	covid:0c8e1f6e428a6688f68c4a989752d3f052b58677#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'SHORT-TERM OUTCOME' named entity 'March' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'containment' named entity 'patients' named entity 'MARCH' named entity 'IMPACT' named entity 'EVALUATION' named entity 'SUSTAINED' named entity 'PROVIDE' named entity 'CONTAINMENT' named entity 'POTENTIAL' named entity 'CRI' named entity 'EPIDEMIC' named entity 'PATIENTS' named entity 'UNCONTROLLED' named entity 'AGGRESSIVE' named entity 'REQUIRED' named entity 'MORE THAN' named entity 'HEALTHCARE SYSTEM' named entity 'DISEASE TRANSMISSION' named entity 'STRATEGIES' named entity 'UNCONTROLLED' named entity 'POTENTIAL' named entity 'COMMUNICATION' named entity 'ONGOING' named entity 'PATIENT RECORDS' named entity '250' named entity 'CASES' named entity 'MODELBASED' named entity 'CAUSE' named entity 'DEATHS' named entity 'ITALY' named entity 'INCLUDING' named entity 'PREDICTING' named entity 'REPORTED' named entity 'CREDIBLE INTERVAL' named entity 'INTENSIVE CARE' named entity 'RAPID' named entity '3 WEEKS' covid:arg/0c8e1f6e428a6688f68c4a989752d3f052b58677 named entity 'coronavirus' named entity 'impact' named entity 'uncontrolled' named entity 'intensive care' named entity 'nosocomial' named entity 'Lombardy' named entity 'average age' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'Lombardy' named entity 'Italian regions' named entity 'infection' named entity 'Italy' named entity 'intensive care' named entity 'intensive care'

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