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About:
Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study
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schema:ScholarlyArticle
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wasabi.inria.fr
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Type:
Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
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type
Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy
Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title
Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study
Creator
Boƫlle, Pierre-Yves
Colizza, Vittoria
Poletto, Chiara
Gilbert, Marius
Yazdanpanah, Yazdan
Gutierrez, Bernardo
Altmann, Mathias
Pinotti, Francesco
Pullano, Giulia
Valdano, Eugenio
Eholie, Serge
Kraemer,
Moritz, U
Ortenzio, Eric
topic
covid:0f07a76e45660e547af8810c54b34767cba86a16#this
source
Elsevier; Medline; PMC
abstract
BACKGROUND: The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic has spread from China to 25 countries. Local cycles of transmission have already occurred in 12 countries after case importation. In Africa, Egypt has so far confirmed one case. The management and control of COVID-19 importations heavily rely on a country's health capacity. Here we evaluate the preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against their risk of importation of COVID-19. METHODS: We used data on the volume of air travel departing from airports in the infected provinces in China and directed to Africa to estimate the risk of importation per country. We determined the country's capacity to detect and respond to cases with two indicators: preparedness, using the WHO International Health Regulations Monitoring and Evaluation Framework; and vulnerability, using the Infectious Disease Vulnerability Index. Countries were clustered according to the Chinese regions contributing most to their risk. FINDINGS: Countries with the highest importation risk (ie, Egypt, Algeria, and South Africa) have moderate to high capacity to respond to outbreaks. Countries at moderate risk (ie, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Sudan, Angola, Tanzania, Ghana, and Kenya) have variable capacity and high vulnerability. We identified three clusters of countries that share the same exposure to the risk originating from the provinces of Guangdong, Fujian, and the city of Beijing, respectively. INTERPRETATION: Many countries in Africa are stepping up their preparedness to detect and cope with COVID-19 importations. Resources, intensified surveillance, and capacity building should be urgently prioritised in countries with moderate risk that might be ill-prepared to detect imported cases and to limit onward transmission. FUNDING: EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation Horizon 2020, Agence Nationale de la Recherche.
has issue date
2020-02-20
(
xsd:dateTime
)
bibo:doi
10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30411-6
bibo:pmid
32087820
has license
no-cc
sha1sum (hex)
0f07a76e45660e547af8810c54b34767cba86a16
schema:url
https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736%2820%2930411-6
resource representing a document's title
Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study
has PubMed Central identifier
PMC7159277
has PubMed identifier
32087820
schema:publication
Lancet
resource representing a document's body
covid:0f07a76e45660e547af8810c54b34767cba86a16#body_text
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http://vocab.deri.ie/void#inDataset
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proxy:http/ns.inria.fr/covid19/0f07a76e45660e547af8810c54b34767cba86a16
is
schema:about
of
named entity 'COVID-19'
named entity 'health'
named entity 'Preparedness'
named entity 'COUNTRIES'
named entity 'CONTROL'
named entity 'LOCAL'
named entity 'HERE'
named entity 'COUNTRY'
named entity 'CAPACITY'
named entity 'EVALUATE'
named entity 'EPIDEMIC'
named entity 'PREPAREDNESS'
named entity 'CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 2019'
named entity 'THEIR'
named entity 'AFRICAN'
named entity 'COUNTRIES'
named entity 'PREPAREDNESS'
named entity 'MODELLING'
named entity 'VULNERABILITY'
named entity 'STUDY'
named entity 'RISK OF'
named entity 'BACKGROUND'
named entity 'MANAGEMENT'
named entity 'SPREAD'
named entity 'AFRICA'
named entity 'OCCURRED'
named entity 'NOVEL CORONAVIRUS'
named entity 'TRANSMISSION'
named entity 'HAVE'
named entity 'COVID-19'
named entity 'FAR'
named entity 'HEALTH'
named entity 'CASE'
named entity 'AFRICAN'
named entity 'CONFIRMED'
named entity '27S'
named entity 'EGYPT'
named entity 'IMPORTATION'
named entity 'VULNERABILITY'
named entity 'CHINA'
covid:arg/0f07a76e45660e547af8810c54b34767cba86a16
named entity 'importation'
named entity 'coronavirus disease 2019'
named entity 'importation'
named entity 'Tunisia'
named entity 'Nigeria'
named entity 'IHR'
named entity 'Ethiopia'
named entity 'public health'
named entity 'influenza pandemic'
named entity 'air travel'
named entity 'socioeconomic'
named entity 'coronavirus disease 2019'
named entity 'air travel'
named entity 'Kenya'
named entity 'demographic'
named entity 'COVID'
named entity 'province level'
named entity 'Thailand'
named entity 'health systems'
named entity 'COVID'
named entity 'Singapore'
named entity 'China'
named entity 'Africa'
named entity 'Ethiopia'
named entity 'risk communication'
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