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About:
A clinical prediction rule for diagnosing human infections with avian influenza A(H7N9) in a hospital emergency department setting
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wasabi.inria.fr
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research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
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Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy
Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title
A clinical prediction rule for diagnosing human infections with avian influenza A(H7N9) in a hospital emergency department setting
Creator
Cao, Bin
Wu, Peng
Yu, Hongjie
Feng, Luzhao
Huai, Yang
Jiang, Hui
Peng, Zhibin
Zheng, Jiandong
Liao, Qiaohong
Leung, Gabriel
Liu, Fengfeng
Cowling, Benjamin
Ip, Dennis
Lau, Eric
Tsang, Tim
Source
Medline; PMC
abstract
BACKGROUND: Human infections with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus are associated with severe illness and high mortality. To better inform triage decisions of hospitalization and management, we developed a clinical prediction rule for diagnosing patients with A(H7N9) and determined its predictive performance. METHODS: Clinical details on presentation of adult patients hospitalized with either A(H7N9)(n = 121) in China from March to May 2013 or other causes of acute respiratory infections (n = 2,603) in Jingzhou City, China from January 2010 through September 2012 were analyzed. A clinical prediction rule was developed using a two-step coefficient-based multivariable logistic regression scoring method and evaluated with internal validation by bootstrapping. RESULTS: In step 1, predictors for A(H7N9) included male sex, poultry exposure history, and fever, haemoptysis, or shortness of breath on history and physical examination. In step 2, haziness or pneumonic consolidation on chest radiographs and leukopenia were also associated with a higher probability of A(H7N9). The observed risk of A(H7N9) was 0.3% for those assigned to the low-risk group and 2.5%, 4.3%, and 44.0% for tertiles 1 through 3, respectively, in the high-risk group. This prediction rule achieved good model performance, with an optimism-corrected sensitivity of 0.93, a specificity of 0.80, and an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of 0.96. CONCLUSIONS: A simple decision rule based on data readily obtainable in the setting of patients’ first clinical presentations from the first wave of the A/H7N9 epidemic in China has been developed. This prediction rule has achieved good model performance in predicting their risk of A(H7N9) infection and should be useful in guiding important clinical and public health decisions in a timely and objective manner. Data to be gathered with its use in the current evolving second wave of the A/H7N9 epidemic in China will help to inform its performance in the field and contribute to its further refinement. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12916-014-0127-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
has issue date
2014-08-05
(
xsd:dateTime
)
bibo:doi
10.1186/s12916-014-0127-0
bibo:pmid
25091477
has license
cc-by
sha1sum (hex)
3a4cf1cc2f583dea77288aa7e114c117a00660b2
schema:url
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-014-0127-0
resource representing a document's title
A clinical prediction rule for diagnosing human infections with avian influenza A(H7N9) in a hospital emergency department setting
has PubMed Central identifier
PMC4243192
has PubMed identifier
25091477
schema:publication
BMC Med
resource representing a document's body
covid:3a4cf1cc2f583dea77288aa7e114c117a00660b2#body_text
is
schema:about
of
named entity 'high'
named entity 'January 2010'
named entity 'bootstrapping'
named entity 'male'
named entity 'validation'
covid:arg/3a4cf1cc2f583dea77288aa7e114c117a00660b2
named entity 'sensitivity'
named entity 'March'
named entity 'developed'
named entity 'This'
named entity 'infection'
named entity 'developed'
named entity 'Results'
named entity 'refinement'
named entity 'presentation'
named entity 'predicting'
named entity 'breath'
named entity 'group'
named entity 'inform'
named entity 'details'
named entity 'H7N9'
named entity 'Human'
named entity 'manner'
named entity 'two-step'
named entity 'radiographs'
named entity 'current'
named entity 'management'
named entity 'H7N9'
named entity 'epidemic'
named entity 'virus'
named entity 'Jingzhou City'
named entity 'physical examination'
named entity 'public health'
named entity 'logistic regression'
named entity 'infection'
named entity 'epidemic'
named entity 'China'
named entity 'haemoptysis'
named entity 'H7N9'
named entity 'clinical prediction rule'
named entity 'hospitalized'
named entity 'infection'
named entity 'risk group'
named entity 'ARI'
named entity 'H7N9'
named entity 'H7N9'
named entity 'biochemistry'
named entity 'respiratory illness'
named entity 'shortness of breath'
named entity 'H7N9'
named entity 'H7N9'
named entity 'abnormal breath sounds'
named entity 'ROC curve'
named entity 'severe acute respiratory infection'
named entity 'infection'
named entity 'antiviral treatment'
named entity 'control patients'
named entity 'WBC'
named entity 'respiratory symptoms'
named entity 'poultry'
named entity 'risk stratification'
named entity 'epidemics'
named entity 'H7N9'
named entity 'H7N9'
named entity 'clinical decision-making'
named entity 'virus'
named entity 'collection of data'
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