About: Global trends in air travel: implications for connectivity and resilience to infectious disease threats

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Global trends in air travel: implications for connectivity and resilience to infectious disease threats
Creator	Khan, Kamran Watts, Alexander Bogoch, Isaac Tuite, Ashleigh Moineddin, Rahim Bhatia, Deepit
Source	MedRxiv
abstract	Background: Increased connectivity via air travel can facilitate the geographic spread of infectious diseases. The number of travelers alone does not explain risk; passenger origin and destination will also influence risk of disease introduction and spread. We described trends in international air passenger numbers and connectivity between countries with different capacities to detect and respond to infectious disease threats. Methods: We used the Fragile States Index (FSI) as an annual measure of country-level resilience and capacity to respond to infectious disease events. Countries are categorized as: Sustainable, Stable, Warning, or Alert, in order of increasing fragility. We included data for 177 sovereign states for the years 2007 to 2016. Annual inbound and outbound international air passengers for each country were obtained for the same time period. We examined trends in FSI score, trends in worldwide air travel, and the association between a state's FSI score and air travel. Results: Among countries included in the FSI rankings, the total number of passengers increased from 0.791 billion to 1.28 billion between 2007 and 2016. Increasing fragility was associated with a decrease in travel volumes, with a 2.9% (95% CI: 2.3-3.5%) reduction in passengers per 1-unit increase in FSI score. Overall, travel between countries of different FSI categories either increased or remained stable. The greatest increase was observed for travel to Warning countries from Warning countries, with an annual increase of 8,967,623 passengers (95%CI: 6,546,494 to 11,388,753) over the study period. Conclusions: The world's connectivity via air travel has increased dramatically over the past decade. There has been notable growth in travel from Warning and Stable countries, which comprise more than three-quarters of international air travel passengers. These countries may have suboptimal capacity to detect and respond to infectious disease threats that emerge within their borders.
has issue date	2020-04-01(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.03.29.20046904
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	447c606a4b4aeb4c066160c4243666695258c80f
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.29.20046904
resource representing a document's title	Global trends in air travel: implications for connectivity and resilience to infectious disease threats
resource representing a document's body	covid:447c606a4b4aeb4c066160c4243666695258c80f#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'GLOBAL' named entity 'infectious disease' named entity 'RESILIENCE' named entity 'INCREASED' named entity 'RISK OF' covid:arg/447c606a4b4aeb4c066160c4243666695258c80f named entity 'AIR TRAVEL' named entity 'THREATS' named entity 'INFECTIOUS DISEASE' named entity 'NUMBER OF' named entity 'DOES NOT' named entity 'THREATS' named entity 'INFECTIOUS DISEASE' named entity 'CONNECTIVITY' named entity 'TRENDS' named entity 'AIR TRAVEL' named entity 'TO DETECT' named entity 'INTRODUCTION' named entity 'BACKGROUND' named entity 'DESCRIBED' named entity 'DISEASE' named entity 'INFECTIOUS DISEASES' named entity 'GEOGRAPHIC' named entity 'PASSENGER' named entity 'TRAVELERS' named entity 'INTERNATIONAL' named entity 'COUNTRIES' named entity 'DESTINATION' named entity 'ORIGIN' named entity 'DIFFERENT' named entity 'RISK' named entity 'AIR' named entity 'RESPOND TO' named entity 'SPREAD' named entity 'CONNECTIVITY' named entity 'TRENDS' named entity 'INFLUENCE' named entity 'NUMBERS' named entity 'risk' named entity 'infectious diseases' named entity 'infectious disease' named entity 'infectious disease' named entity 'preprint' named entity 'infectious diseases' named entity 'South Sudan' named entity 'CC-BY-NC 4.0' named entity 'preprint' named entity 'South Sudan' named entity 'doi' named entity 'sovereign states' named entity 'preprint' named entity 'preprint' named entity 'vaccination' named entity 'independent variable' named entity 'public health' named entity 'Middle East' named entity 'one-unit' named entity 'World Health Organization' named entity 'mixed model' named entity 'pathogens' named entity 'preprint' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'FSI rankings' named entity 'peer-reviewed' named entity 'linear regression' named entity 'infectious disease' named entity 'preprint' named entity 'Europe' named entity 'dependent variable' named entity 'preprint' named entity '7.1' named entity 'global health' named entity 'independent variables' named entity 'preprint' named entity 'Fragile States Index' named entity 'CC-BY-NC 4.0' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'preprint' named entity 'composite index' named entity 'dependent variable'

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