About: Robust estimation of diagnostic rate and real incidence of COVID-19 for European policymakers

Facets (new session)
Description
Metadata
Settings
- owl:sameAs
- Inference Rule:

About: Robust estimation of diagnostic rate and real incidence of COVID-19 for European policymakers Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Robust estimation of diagnostic rate and real incidence of COVID-19 for European policymakers
Creator	Alonso, S Alvarez-Lacalle, E Cardona, P Català, M López-Codina, D Marchena, M Palacios, P Pino, D Prats, C Urdiales, T
source	MedRxiv
abstract	Policymakers need a clear and fast assessment of the real spread of the epidemic of COVID-19 in each of their respective countries. Standard measures of the situation provided by the governments include reported positive cases and total deaths. While total deaths immediately indicate that countries like Italy and Spain have the worst situation as of mid April 2020, on its own, reported cases do not provide a correct picture of the situation. The reason is that different countries diagnose diversely and present very distinctive reported case fatality rate (CFR). The same levels of reported incidence and mortality might hide a very different underlying picture. Here we present a straightforward and robust estimation of the diagnostic rate in each European country. From that estimation we obtain an uniform unbiased incidence of the epidemic. The method to obtain the diagnostic rate is transparent and empiric. The key assumption of the method is that the real CFR in Europe of COVID-19 is not strongly country-dependent. We show that this number is not expected to be biased due to demography nor the way total deaths are reported. The estimation protocol has a dynamic nature, and it has been giving converging numbers for diagnostic rates in all European countries as of mid April 2020. From this diagnostic rate, policy makers can obtain an Effective Potential Growth (EPG) updated everyday providing an unbiased assessment of the countries with more potential to have an uncontrolled situation. The method developed will be used to track possible improvements on the diagnostic rate in European countries as the epidemic evolves.
has issue date	2020-05-06(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.05.01.20087023
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	4eaa49f76b8fa00d976864ac8afa2a62379b8ad0
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.01.20087023
resource representing a document's title	Robust estimation of diagnostic rate and real incidence of COVID-19 for European policymakers
resource representing a document's body	covid:4eaa49f76b8fa00d976864ac8afa2a62379b8ad0#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'uniform' named entity 'unbiased' named entity 'estimation' named entity 'converging' named entity 'policymakers' named entity 'total' named entity 'European' named entity 'Policymakers' named entity 'uncontrolled' named entity 'levels' named entity 'April 15' named entity 'ECDC' named entity 'EPG' named entity 'NAb' named entity 'biased' named entity 'numbers' named entity 'Potential' named entity 'provide' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'reported cases' named entity 'Europe' named entity 'EPG' named entity 'CFR' named entity 'Fudan University' named entity 'Germany' named entity 'Belgium' named entity 'CFR' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'Spain' named entity 'false negatives' named entity 'CFR' named entity 'CC-BY-NC 4.0' named entity 'Switzerland' named entity 'evolution' named entity 'United Kingdom' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'number of new cases' named entity 'real number' named entity '68%' named entity 'CFR' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'EPG' named entity 'CFR' named entity 'socio-economic factors' named entity 'Spain' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'April 20' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2' named entity 'DtD' named entity 'neutralizing antibodies' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'antibody' named entity 'Portugal' named entity 'evolution' named entity 'March 2020' named entity 'symptom' named entity 'CFR' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'Eurostat' named entity 'mortality rate' named entity 'Spain' named entity 'Spain' named entity 'Germany' named entity 'South Korea' named entity 'number of new cases' named entity 'Germany' named entity 'CFR' named entity 'Italy' named entity 'South Korea' named entity 'April 15' named entity 'influenza' named entity 'Italy' named entity 'EPG' named entity 'Spain' named entity 'United Kingdom'

Faceted Search & Find service v1.13.91 as of Mar 24 2020

Alternative Linked Data Documents: Sponger | ODE Content Formats:

RDF

ODATA

Microdata

About

OpenLink Virtuoso version 07.20.3229 as of Jul 10 2020, on Linux (x86_64-pc-linux-gnu), Single-Server Edition (94 GB total memory)
Data on this page belongs to its respective rights holders.
Virtuoso Faceted Browser Copyright © 2009-2025 OpenLink Software