About: Early transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in a southern hemisphere setting: Lima-Peru: February 29(th)

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About: Early transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in a southern hemisphere setting: Lima-Peru: February 29(th)–March 30(th), 2020. Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Early transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in a southern hemisphere setting: Lima-Peru: February 29(th)–March 30(th), 2020.
Creator	Tariq, Amna Silva, Martha Arrasco, Alerta-Respuesta Cabanillas, Oswaldo Cabezas, César Chuquihuaccha, Jesus Cornejo, Kely Cusi, David Dreyfus, Mayra Durand, Milagros Garro, Dante Ibarguen, Luis Janampa, Noemí Jaramillo, Alex La, Lenin Lima-Peru, Lizarbe, Susan Loayza, Manuel Martel Vasquez, Kevin Mimbela, Javier Munayco, César Ordinola, Isabel Pilco, Idania Pineda, Miguel Ramos, Willy Reyes, Mary Rojas-Mezarina, Leonardo Rosillo, Torre Seminario, Gonzalez Soto-Cabezas, Gabriela Valle, Andree Vargas, Karina Vasquez Dominguez, Mario Veintimilla, Rommell
source	MedRxiv; Medline; PMC
abstract	The COVID-19 pandemic that emerged in Wuhan China has generated substantial morbidity and mortality impact around the world during the last four months. The daily trend in reported cases has been rapidly rising in Latin America since March 2020 with the great majority of the cases reported in Brazil followed by Peru as of April 15(th), 2020. Although Peru implemented a range of social distancing measures soon after the confirmation of its first case on March 6(th), 2020, the daily number of new COVID-19 cases continues to accumulate in this country. We assessed the early COVID-19 transmission dynamics and the effect of social distancing interventions in Lima, Peru. We estimated the reproduction number, R, during the early transmission phase in Lima from the daily series of imported and autochthonous cases by the date of symptoms onset as of March 30(th), 2020. We also assessed the effect of social distancing interventions in Lima by generating short-term forecasts grounded on the early transmission dynamics before interventions were put in place. Prior to the implementation of the social distancing measures in Lima, the local incidence curve by the date of symptoms onset displays near exponential growth dynamics with the mean scaling of growth parameter, p, estimated at 0.9 (95%CI: 0.9,1.0) and the reproduction number at 2.3 (95% CI: 2.0, 2.5). Our analysis indicates that school closures and other social distancing interventions have helped slow down the spread of the novel coronavirus, with the nearly exponential growth trend shifting to an approximately linear growth trend soon after the broad scale social distancing interventions were put in place by the government. While the interventions appear to have slowed the transmission rate in Lima, the number of new COVID-19 cases continue to accumulate, highlighting the need to strengthen social distancing and active case finding efforts to mitigate disease transmission in the region.
has issue date	2020-05-08(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.04.30.20077594
bibo:pmid	32511517
has license	no-cc
sha1sum (hex)	528d6be1925c1ed818ce57b2da4e7a6724963998
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.30.20077594
resource representing a document's title	Early transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in a southern hemisphere setting: Lima-Peru: February 29(th)–March 30(th), 2020.
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC7273285
has PubMed identifier	32511517
schema:publication	medRxiv
resource representing a document's body	covid:528d6be1925c1ed818ce57b2da4e7a6724963998#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'April 15' named entity 'measures' named entity 'social distancing' named entity 'exponential growth' named entity 'reproduction' named entity 'E-mail' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'TO INCREASE' named entity 'EARLY' named entity 'INTERVENTIONS' named entity 'OUTBREAK' named entity 'OUR' named entity 'PRIOR TO' named entity 'MEASURES' named entity 'SHIFTING' named entity 'CASES REPORTED' named entity 'NEARLY' named entity 'WORLD' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'imported' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'outbreak' named entity 'case' named entity 'cases' named entity 'incidence' named entity 'forecasts' named entity 'number' named entity 'social distancing' named entity 'Lima' named entity 'confirmation' named entity 'rapidly' named entity 'symptoms' named entity 'stem' named entity 'March 6' named entity 'daily' named entity 'social distancing' named entity 'virus' named entity 'daily' named entity 'daily series' named entity 'Lima' named entity 'COVID' named entity 'COVID' named entity 'southern hemisphere' named entity 'CC-BY-ND' named entity 'diabetes' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'Hong Kong' named entity 'preprint'

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