About: Historical Epidemiology of the Second Cholera Pandemic: Relevance to Present Day Disease Dynamics

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Historical Epidemiology of the Second Cholera Pandemic: Relevance to Present Day Disease Dynamics
Creator	Fisman, David Tuite, Ashleigh Chan, Christina
Source	Medline; PMC
abstract	Despite nearly two centuries of study, the fundamental transmission dynamic properties of cholera remain incompletely characterized. We used historical time-series data on the spread of cholera in twelve European and North American cities during the second cholera pandemic, as reported in Amariah Brigham’s 1832 A Treatise on Epidemic Cholera, to parameterize simple mathematical models of cholera transmission. Richards growth models were used to derive estimates of the basic reproductive number (R(0)) (median: 16.0, range: 1.9 to 550.9) and the proportion of unrecognized cases (mean: 96.3%, SD: 0.04%). Heterogeneity in model-generated R(0) estimates was consistent with variability in cholera dynamics described by contemporary investigators and may represent differences in the nature of cholera spread. While subject to limitations associated with measurement and the absence of microbiological diagnosis, historical epidemic data are a potentially rich source for understanding pathogen dynamics in the absence of control measures, particularly when used in conjunction with simple and readily interpretable mathematical models.
has issue date	2013-08-22(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1371/journal.pone.0072498
bibo:pmid	23991117
has license	cc-by
sha1sum (hex)	682a9c91d32a70c08413f3c3f0daba54239c0af0
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0072498
resource representing a document's title	Historical Epidemiology of the Second Cholera Pandemic: Relevance to Present Day Disease Dynamics
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC3749991
has PubMed identifier	23991117
schema:publication	PLoS One
resource representing a document's body	covid:682a9c91d32a70c08413f3c3f0daba54239c0af0#body_text
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