About: Exponential phase of covid19 expansion is not driven by climate at global scale

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About: Exponential phase of covid19 expansion is not driven by climate at global scale Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Exponential phase of covid19 expansion is not driven by climate at global scale
Creator	Alexandre, José Coelho, Pacheco Diniz-Filho, Felizola Dobrovolski, Ricardo Fabricio, João Matos Medina, Anderson Rodrigues, Mota Scalco, Paulo Terribile, Levi Túlio, Marco Vilela, Bruno
Source	MedRxiv
abstract	The pandemic state of COVID-19 caused by the SARS CoV-2 put the world in quarantine and is causing an unprecedented economic crisis. However, COVID-19 is spreading in different rates at different countries. Here, we tested the effect of three classes of predictors, i.e., socioeconomic, climatic and transport, on the rate of daily increase of COVID-19. We found that global connections, represented by countries importance in the global air transportation network, is the main explanation for the growth rate of COVID-19 in different countries. Climate, geographic distance and socioeconomics did not affect this big picture analysis. Geographic distance and climate were significant barriers in the past but were surpassed by the human engine that allowed us to colonize almost every corner on Earth. Based on our global analysis, the global network of air transportation could lead to a worst-case scenario of synchronous global pandemic if board control measures in international airports were not taken and are not sustained during this pandemic. Despite all limitations of a global analysis, our results indicate that the current claims that the growth rate of COVID-19 may be lower in tropical countries should be taken very carefully, at risk to disturb well-established and effective policy of social isolation that may help to avoid higher mortality rates due to collapse of national health systems. This is the case of Brazil, a well-connected tropical country that presents the second highest increase rate of COVID-19 and might experience a serious case of human-induced disasters if decision makers take into consideration unsupported claims of the growth rate of COVID-19 might be lower in tropical countries.
has issue date	2020-04-06(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.04.02.20050773
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	6c9306850b5da6412d800d19643c80d3dc3af2dc
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20050773
resource representing a document's title	Exponential phase of covid19 expansion is not driven by climate at global scale
resource representing a document's body	covid:6c9306850b5da6412d800d19643c80d3dc3af2dc#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'claims' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'social isolation' named entity 'daily' named entity 'CONSIDERATION' named entity 'AT RISK' named entity 'SOCIAL ISOLATION' named entity 'MEASURES' named entity 'BOARD' named entity 'NETWORK' named entity 'EXPANSION' named entity 'DISASTERS' named entity 'ECONOMIC' named entity 'EFFECTIVE' named entity 'UNSUPPORTED' named entity 'CLIMATE' named entity 'ESTABLISHED' named entity 'QUARANTINE' named entity 'STATE' named entity 'HELP' named entity 'CLIMATE' named entity 'OUR' named entity 'HERE' named entity 'EXPERIENCE' named entity 'GLOBAL ANALYSIS' named entity 'TO AVOID' named entity 'CONNECTIONS' named entity 'CAUSED BY' named entity 'HIGHER' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'BRAZIL' named entity 'BIG' named entity 'DRIVEN' named entity 'AIRPORTS' named entity 'WORST' named entity 'IN THE PAST' named entity 'PICTURE' named entity 'MAKERS' named entity 'AFFECT' named entity 'SOCIOECONOMICS' named entity 'GLOBAL SCALE' named entity 'PANDEMIC' named entity 'COUNTRIES' named entity 'SERIOUS CASE' named entity 'TROPICAL' named entity 'PRESENTS' named entity 'SUSTAINED' named entity 'RESULTS' named entity 'DISTANCE' named entity 'MORTALITY RATES' named entity 'WORLD' named entity 'DID' named entity 'HIGHEST' named entity 'MAY BE' named entity 'CORNER' named entity 'EXPLANATION' named entity 'BUT' named entity 'GROWTH RATE' named entity 'COLLAPSE' named entity 'COUNTRY' named entity 'POLICY' named entity 'NATIONAL' named entity 'DAILY' named entity 'ENGINE' named entity 'CAUSING' named entity 'RATES' named entity 'TESTED' named entity 'SPREADING' named entity 'EFFECT' named entity 'TAKEN' named entity 'DUE TO' named entity 'CLASSES' named entity 'LOWER' named entity 'ALMOST' named entity 'MAIN'

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