About: COVID-19 incidence and R decreased on the Isle of Wight after the launch of the Test, Trace, Isolate programme

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About: COVID-19 incidence and R decreased on the Isle of Wight after the launch of the Test, Trace, Isolate programme Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	COVID-19 incidence and R decreased on the Isle of Wight after the launch of the Test, Trace, Isolate programme
Creator	Fraser, Christophe Bonsall, David Abeler-Dörner, Lucie Ferretti, Luca Kendall, Michelle Wymant, Chris Abeler, Johannes Milsom, Luke Briers, Mark Holmes, Chris
Source	MedRxiv
abstract	In May 2020 the UK introduced a Test, Trace, Isolate programme in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The programme was first rolled out on the Isle of Wight and included Version 1 of the NHS contact tracing app. We used COVID-19 daily case data to infer incidence of new infections and estimate the reproduction number R for each of 150 Upper Tier Local Authorities in England, and at the National level, before and after the launch of the programme on the Isle of Wight. We used Bayesian and Maximum-Likelihood methods to estimate R, and compared the Isle of Wight to other areas using a synthetic control method. We observed significant decreases in incidence and R on the Isle of Wight immediately after the launch. These results are robust across each of our approaches. Our results show that the sub-epidemic on the Isle of Wight was controlled significantly more effectively than the sub-epidemics of most other Upper Tier Local Authorities, changing from having the third highest reproduction number R (of 150) before the intervention to the tenth lowest afterwards. The data is not yet available to establish a causal link. However, the findings highlight the need for further research to determine the causes of this reduction, as these might translate into local and national non-pharmaceutical intervention strategies in the period before a treatment or vaccination becomes available.
has issue date	2020-07-14(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.07.12.20151753
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	6f88725264189fabb8909bcd48b14fe0a28b647b
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.12.20151753
resource representing a document's title	COVID-19 incidence and R decreased on the Isle of Wight after the launch of the Test, Trace, Isolate programme
resource representing a document's body	covid:6f88725264189fabb8909bcd48b14fe0a28b647b#body_text
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