About: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the post-pandemic period

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About: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the post-pandemic period Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the post-pandemic period
Creator	Lipsitch, Marc Goldstein, Edward Grad, Yonatan Kissler, Stephen Tedijanto, Christine
Source	MedRxiv
abstract	There is an urgent need to project how transmission of the novel betacoronavirus SARS-CoV-2 will unfold in coming years. These dynamics will depend on seasonality, the duration of immunity, and the strength of cross-immunity to/from the other human coronaviruses. Using data from the United States, we measured how these factors affect transmission of human betacoronaviruses HCoV-OC43 and HCoV-HKU1. We then built a mathematical model to simulate transmission of SARS-CoV-2 through the year 2025. We project that recurrent wintertime outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 will probably occur after an initial pandemic wave. We summarize the full range of plausible transmission scenarios and identify key data still needed to distinguish between them, most importantly longitudinal serological studies to determine the duration of immunity to SARS-CoV-2.
has issue date	2020-03-06(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.03.04.20031112
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	734779fad93249a2f6fede6afd10eeff7b37919b
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.04.20031112
resource representing a document's title	Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the post-pandemic period
resource representing a document's body	covid:734779fad93249a2f6fede6afd10eeff7b37919b#body_text
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