About: The effect of school closures and reopening strategies on COVID-19 infection dynamics in the San Francisco Bay Area: a cross-sectional survey and modeling analysis

Facets (new session)
Description
Metadata
Settings
- owl:sameAs
- Inference Rule:

About: The effect of school closures and reopening strategies on COVID-19 infection dynamics in the San Francisco Bay Area: a cross-sectional survey and modeling analysis Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : wasabi.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	The effect of school closures and reopening strategies on COVID-19 infection dynamics in the San Francisco Bay Area: a cross-sectional survey and modeling analysis
Creator	Cheng, Qu Harrison, Robert Remais, Justin Head, Jennifer Lewnard, Joseph Wu, Sean Collender, Philip Heaney, Alexandra Northrup, Graham Andrejko, Kristin Boser, Anna Click, Karen Hoover, Christopher Phillips, Sophie
Source	MedRxiv; Medline
abstract	Background Large-scale school closures have been implemented worldwide to curb the spread of COVID-19. However, the impact of school closures and re-opening on epidemic dynamics remains unclear. Methods We simulated COVID-19 transmission dynamics using an individual-based stochastic model, incorporating social-contact data of school-aged children during shelter-in-place orders derived from Bay Area (California) household surveys. We simulated transmission under observed conditions and counterfactual intervention scenarios between March 17-June 1, and evaluated various fall 2020 K-12 reopening strategies. Findings Between March 17-June 1, assuming children <10 were half as susceptible to infection as older children and adults, we estimated school closures averted a similar number of infections (13,842 cases; 95% CI: 6,290, 23,040) as workplace closures (15,813% CI: 9,963, 22,617) and social distancing measures (7,030% CI: 3,118, 11,676). School closure effects were driven by high school and middle school closures. Under assumptions of moderate community transmission, we estimate that fall 2020 school reopenings will increase symptomatic illness among high school teachers (an additional 40.7% expected to experience symptomatic infection, 95% CI: 1.9, 61.1), middle school teachers (37.2%, 95% CI: 4.6, 58.1), and elementary school teachers (4.1%, 95% CI: -1.7, 12.0). Results are highly dependent on uncertain parameters, notably the relative susceptibility and infectiousness of children, and extent of community transmission amid re-opening. The school-based interventions needed to reduce the risk to fewer than an additional 1% of teachers infected varies by grade level. A hybrid-learning approach with halved class sizes of 10 students may be needed in high schools, while maintaining small cohorts of 20 students may be needed for elementary schools. Interpretation Multiple in-school intervention strategies and community transmission reductions, beyond the extent achieved to date, will be necessary to avoid undue excess risk associated with school reopening. Policymakers must urgently enact policies that curb community transmission and implement within-school control measures to simultaneously address the tandem health crises posed by COVID-19 and adverse child health and development consequences of long-term school closures.
has issue date	2020-08-07(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.08.06.20169797
bibo:pmid	32793934
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	82f3e1f564632ea1cc369b8b109e7766393438a4
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.08.06.20169797
resource representing a document's title	The effect of school closures and reopening strategies on COVID-19 infection dynamics in the San Francisco Bay Area: a cross-sectional survey and modeling analysis
has PubMed identifier	32793934
schema:publication	medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
resource representing a document's body	covid:82f3e1f564632ea1cc369b8b109e7766393438a4#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'excess death' named entity 'summer camp' named entity 'Bay Area' named entity 'community transmission' named entity 'Hispanic' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'Israel' named entity '8.3' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'stochastic model' named entity 'August 7' named entity 'Bay Area' named entity 'seroprevalence' named entity 'California' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'shelter in place' named entity 'middle schools' named entity 'infection' named entity 'epidemiologic' named entity 'triples' named entity 'Bay Area' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'Hispanic' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'August 7' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'public health' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'Latinx' named entity 'Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2' named entity 'CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'epidemiological' named entity 'Bay Area' named entity 'Shelter in Place' named entity 'shelter-in-place' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0' named entity '16.0' named entity 'Policy makers' named entity 'community transmission' named entity 'excess death' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'homeschool' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'middle schools' named entity 'shelter-in-place order' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'seroprevalence' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'force of infection' named entity 'contact tracing' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'August 7' named entity '5.4' named entity 'influenza' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'social distancing' named entity 'March 16' named entity 'Bay Area' named entity 'force of infection' named entity 'peer review' named entity 'CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0'

Faceted Search & Find service v1.13.91 as of Mar 24 2020

Alternative Linked Data Documents: Sponger | ODE Content Formats:

RDF

ODATA

Microdata

About

OpenLink Virtuoso version 07.20.3229 as of Jul 10 2020, on Linux (x86_64-pc-linux-gnu), Single-Server Edition (94 GB total memory)
Data on this page belongs to its respective rights holders.
Virtuoso Faceted Browser Copyright © 2009-2024 OpenLink Software