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  • The moral decisions we make during this period, such as deciding whether to comply to quarantine rules, have unprecedented societal effects. We simulate the%22escape from Milan%22that occurred on March 7th-8th, when many travelers moved from a high-risk zone (Milan) to southern regions of Italy (Campania and Lazio) immediately after an imminent lockdown was announced. Our simulations show that as few as 41 active cases reaching Campania (and 52 reaching Lazio) might have caused the sudden spread of the virus observed afterwards in these regions. The surprising influence of the actions of few individuals on societal dynamics challenges our cognitive expectations -- as in normal conditions, few%22cheaters%22can be easily tolerated. This situation therefore requires novel educational strategies that increase our awareness and understanding of the unprecedented effects of our individual moral decisions.
subject
  • Lazio
  • Quarantine facilities
  • NUTS 2 statistical regions of the European Union
  • Regions of Italy
  • Wine regions of Italy
  • Coppa Italia winning clubs
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