About: Can Testing Ease Social Distancing Measures? Future Evolution of COVID-19 in NYC

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Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Can Testing Ease Social Distancing Measures? Future Evolution of COVID-19 in NYC
Creator	Housni, Omar Rusmevichientong, Paat Sumida, Mika Topaloglu, Huseyin Ziya, Serhan
source	ArXiv
abstract	The%22New York State on Pause%22executive order came into effect on March 22 with the goal of ensuring adequate social distancing to alleviate the spread of COVID-19. Pause will remain effective in New York City in some form until early June. We use a compartmentalized model to study the effects of testing capacity and social distancing measures on the evolution of the pandemic in the%22post-Pause%22period in the City. We find that testing capacity must increase dramatically if it is to counterbalance even relatively small relaxations in social distancing measures in the immediate post-Pause period. In particular, if the City performs 20,000 tests per day and relaxes the social distancing measures to the pre-Pause norms, then the total number of deaths by the end of September can reach 250,000. By keeping the social distancing measures to somewhere halfway between the pre- and in-Pause norms and performing 100,000 tests per day, the total number of deaths by the end of September can be kept at around 27,000. Going back to the pre-Pause social distancing norms quickly must be accompanied by an exorbitant testing capacity, if one is to suppress excessive deaths. If the City is to go back to the%22pre-Pause%22social distancing norms in the immediate post-Pause period and keep the total number of deaths by the end of September at around 35,000, then it should be performing 500,000 tests per day. Our findings have important implications on the magnitude of the testing capacity the City needs as it relaxes the social distancing measures to reopen its economy.
has issue date	2020-05-27(xsd:dateTime)
has license	arxiv
sha1sum (hex)	b97e7e044c19bb1bbb82b89a8fb91339c974e642
resource representing a document's title	Can Testing Ease Social Distancing Measures? Future Evolution of COVID-19 in NYC
resource representing a document's body	covid:b97e7e044c19bb1bbb82b89a8fb91339c974e642#body_text
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