About: The Population Attributable Fraction (PAF) of cases due to gatherings and groups with relevance to COVID-19 mitigation strategies

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Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	The Population Attributable Fraction (PAF) of cases due to gatherings and groups with relevance to COVID-19 mitigation strategies
Creator	Danon, Leon House, Thomas Brooks-Pollock, Ellen Keeling, Matt Medley, Graham Read, Jonathan
Source	MedRxiv
abstract	Background Many countries have banned groups and gatherings as part of their response to the pandemic caused by the coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2. Although there are outbreak reports involving mass gatherings, the contribution to overall transmission is unknown. Methods We used data from a survey of social contact behaviour that specifically asked about contact with groups to estimate the Population Attributable Fraction (PAF) due to groups as the relative change in the Basic Reproduction Number when groups are prevented. Findings We estimate that PAF due to groups of 50+ people is 2.2% (95%CI 1.1%, 3.6%); the PAF due to groups of 20+ people is 6.4% (5.0%, 8.0%); the PAF due to groups of 10+ is 11.3% (9.9%, 13.0%) Interpretation Large groups of individuals have a small epidemiological impact; small and medium sized groups between 10 and 50 people have a larger impact on an epidemic.
has issue date	2020-03-23(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.03.20.20039537
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	d060a0cd128e335c826e6b045f64e8fc5e61436e
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.20.20039537
resource representing a document's title	The Population Attributable Fraction (PAF) of cases due to gatherings and groups with relevance to COVID-19 mitigation strategies
resource representing a document's body	covid:d060a0cd128e335c826e6b045f64e8fc5e61436e#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'groups' named entity 'involving' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'Fraction' named entity 'transmission' named entity 'PAF' named entity 'Population Attributable Fraction' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'PAF' named entity 'influenza' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2' named entity '60 minutes' named entity '11.0' named entity 'epidemiology' named entity 'Basic Reproduction Number' named entity '60 minutes' named entity 'PAF' named entity 'Social Contact' named entity 'infectious diseases' named entity 'social contacts' named entity 'data collected' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'Basic Reproduction Number' named entity 'collected data' named entity 'EBP' named entity 'disease transmission' named entity 'COVID' named entity 'WHO' named entity 'communicable diseases' named entity 'Funding source' named entity 'zoonotic transmission' named entity 'Basic Reproduction Number' named entity 'PAF' named entity 'infection' named entity 'Population Attributable Fraction' named entity 'sanitation' named entity 'preventing disease' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'PAF' named entity 'March 2020' named entity 'Confidence Intervals' named entity 'social contacts' named entity 'risk factor' named entity 'NHS' named entity 'meningitis' named entity 'policy-making' named entity 'infectious disease' named entity 'March 2020' named entity 'disease transmission' named entity 'epidemiologically' named entity 'infectivity' named entity 'Social Contact' named entity '11.0' named entity 'NIHR' named entity 'social contacts' named entity 'disease burden' named entity 'NIHR' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'PAF' named entity 'PAF' named entity 'Social Contact' named entity 'World Health Organization' named entity 'systematic reviews' named entity 'Georgia' named entity 'Health Protection' named entity 'PAF' named entity 'public health' named entity 'risk factor' named entity 'PAF' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'PAF' named entity '95% Confidence Interval' named entity '10.0' named entity 'degree distribution' named entity 'Czech Republic' named entity 'Basic Reproduction Number' named entity 'Population Attributable Fraction' named entity '14.1' named entity 'non-communicable disease'

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