About: Maximum Daily Temperature, Precipitation, Ultra-Violet Light and Rates of Transmission of SARS-Cov-2 in the United States

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About: Maximum Daily Temperature, Precipitation, Ultra-Violet Light and Rates of Transmission of SARS-Cov-2 in the United States Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Maximum Daily Temperature, Precipitation, Ultra-Violet Light and Rates of Transmission of SARS-Cov-2 in the United States
Creator	Baker, Joshua Fundin, Shelby Salciccioli, Justin Sehra, Shiv Student, Mph Wiebe, Douglas
Source	Medline; PMC
abstract	BACKGROUND: Previous reports have suggested that transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is reduced by higher temperatures and higher humidity. We analyzed case-data from the United States to investigate effects of temperature, precipitation, and UV Light on community transmission of SARS-CoV-2. METHODS: Daily reported cases of SARS-CoV-2 across the United States from 01/22/2020 to 04/03/2020 were analyzed. We used negative binomial regression modelling to investigate whether daily maximum temperature, precipitation, UV Index and the incidence 5 days later were related. We performed sensitivity analyses at 3 days, 7 days and 9 days to assess transmission lags. RESULTS: A maximum temperature greater than 52°F on a given day was associated with a lower rate of new cases at 5 days[IRR: 0.85(0.76,0.96)p=0.009]. Among observations with daily temperatures below 52°F, there was a significant inverse association between the maximum daily temperature and the rate of cases at 5 days [IRR 0.98(0.97,0.99)p=0.001]. The rate of new cases was predicted to be lower for theoretical states that maintained a stable maximum daily temperature above 52°F with a predicted 23-fewer cases per-million per-day by 25 days of the epidemic. A 1-unit higher UV index was associated with a lower rate at 5 days [IRR 0.97(0.95,0.99)p=0.004]. Precipitation was not associated with a greater rate of cases at 5 days [IRR 0.98(0.89,1.08)p=0.65]. CONCLUSION: The incidence of disease declines with increasing temperature up until 52°F and is lower at warmer versus cooler temperatures. However, the association between temperature and transmission is small and transmission is likely to remain high at warmer temperatures.
has issue date	2020-05-30(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1093/cid/ciaa681
bibo:pmid	32472936
has license	no-cc
sha1sum (hex)	d875c65020da393a0404e7580801749586d4c352
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa681
resource representing a document's title	Maximum Daily Temperature, Precipitation, Ultra-Violet Light and Rates of Transmission of SARS-Cov-2 in the United States
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC7314246
has PubMed identifier	32472936
schema:publication	Clin Infect Dis
resource representing a document's body	covid:d875c65020da393a0404e7580801749586d4c352#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'PRECIPITATION' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2' named entity 'humidity' named entity 'community transmission' named entity 'stay at home' named entity 'humidity' named entity 'sensitivity analyses' named entity 'obesity' named entity 'humidity' named entity 'community transmission' named entity 'cubic splines' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'interaction term' named entity 'incubation period' named entity 'MERS-CoV' named entity 'incubation period' named entity 'social distancing' named entity 'UV index' named entity 'virus' named entity 'population density' named entity 'continuous variable' named entity 'correlation matrix' named entity 'coronavirus' named entity 'influenza' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2' named entity 'United States' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2' named entity 'interaction term' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2 virus' named entity 'In-vitro' named entity 'virus' named entity 'cubic splines' named entity 'public health' named entity 'cubic splines' named entity 'World Health Organization' named entity 'humidity' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2' named entity 'Negative Binomial regression' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2' named entity 'sensitivity analyses' named entity 'humidity' named entity 'regression models' named entity 'humidity' named entity 'virus' named entity 'inter-quartile range' named entity 'China' named entity 'null hypothesis' named entity 'Schengen countries' named entity 'SARS-CoV' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2' named entity 'linear regression' named entity 'humidity' named entity 'UV light' named entity 'population density' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2' named entity 'IQR' named entity 'baseline rate' named entity 'domestic product' named entity 'UV light' named entity 'global pandemic' named entity 'stay at home' named entity 'coronavirus' named entity 'nucleic acid' named entity 'UV light' named entity 'Regression models' named entity 'UV light' named entity 'significant effect' named entity 'transmission of disease' named entity 'general population' named entity 'College Station, TX' named entity 'nucleic acids' named entity 'UV light' named entity 'riboflavin' named entity 'viruses' named entity 'UV index' named entity 'health systems'

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