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About:
Modelling insights into the COVID-19 pandemic
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wasabi.inria.fr
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Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
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type
Academic Article
research paper
schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy
Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title
Modelling insights into the COVID-19 pandemic
Creator
Adegboye, Oyelola
Mcbryde, Emma
Meehan, Michael
Mcbryde, E
Adekunle, Adeshina
Trauer, James
Caldwell, Jamie
Rojas, Diana
Turek, Evelyn
Williams, Bridget
Adegboye, O
Adekunle, A
Caldwell, J
Meehan, M
Rojas, D
Trauer, J
Turek, E
Williams, B
source
Elsevier; Medline; PMC
abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a newly emerged infectious disease caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) that was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization on 11th March, 2020. Response to this pandemic has required extensive collaboration across the scientific community in an attempt to contain the virus and limit further transmission. Mathematical modelling has been at the forefront of these response efforts by: (1) providing initial estimates of the SARS-CoV-2 reproduction rate, R(0) (of approximately 2-3); (2) updating these estimates following intervention implementation (with significantly reduced, often sub-critical, transmission rates); (3) assessing the potential for global spread through predictions of the exportation of COVID-19 before significant case numbers had been reported internationally; and (4) quantifying the severity and burden of COVID-19, indicating that the true infection rates are orders of magnitude greater than estimates based on confirmed case counts alone. In this review, we highlight the critical role played by mathematical modelling to understand COVID-19 thus far, the challenges posed by data availability and uncertainty, and the continuing utility of modelling-based approaches to inform the public health response. †Unless otherwise stated, all bracketed error margins correspond to the 95% credible interval (CrI) for reported estimates.
has issue date
2020-06-20
(
xsd:dateTime
)
bibo:doi
10.1016/j.prrv.2020.06.014
bibo:pmid
32680824
has license
no-cc
sha1sum (hex)
f9f4cf14d2ade1977d92dbbc3c94165791ba1a77
schema:url
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.prrv.2020.06.014
resource representing a document's title
Modelling insights into the COVID-19 pandemic
has PubMed Central identifier
PMC7305515
has PubMed identifier
32680824
schema:publication
Paediatr Respir Rev
resource representing a document's body
covid:f9f4cf14d2ade1977d92dbbc3c94165791ba1a77#body_text
is
schema:about
of
named entity 'COVID-19'
named entity 'ratio'
named entity 'key'
named entity 'All'
named entity 'infectious disease'
named entity 'exportation'
named entity 'indicating'
named entity 'caused'
named entity 'disease'
named entity 'insights'
named entity 'pandemic'
named entity 'READER'
named entity 'CASE'
named entity 'FUTURE'
named entity 'CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 2019'
named entity 'LOW'
named entity 'PLAYED'
named entity 'COMMUNITY'
named entity 'REQUIRED'
named entity 'uncertainty'
named entity 'Reproduction'
named entity 'estimate'
named entity 'pandemic'
named entity 'limitations'
named entity 'quantifying'
named entity 'response'
named entity 'reproduction'
named entity 'coronavirus'
named entity 'Knowing'
named entity 'stated'
named entity 'COVID-19'
named entity 'margins'
named entity 'internationally'
named entity 'data availability'
named entity 'pandemic'
named entity 'limit'
named entity 'critical role'
named entity 'Mathematical modelling'
named entity 'SARS-CoV-2'
named entity 'World Health Organization'
named entity 'methodological issues'
named entity 'asymptomatic infections'
named entity 'SEIR'
named entity 'serial interval'
named entity 'epidemic'
named entity 'Niger'
named entity 'infection'
named entity 'reproduction number'
named entity 'infection rate'
named entity 'LMIC'
named entity 'herd immunity'
named entity 'serial interval'
named entity 'positive correlation'
named entity 'North America'
named entity 'transmissibility'
named entity 'mainland China'
named entity 'infectious disease'
named entity 'serial interval'
named entity 'Hubei Province'
named entity 'incubation period'
named entity 'LMIC'
named entity 'basic reproduction number'
named entity 'COVID-19 response'
named entity 'virus'
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